Democrats Set Sights on Turning Tucson’s Key District from Red to Blue

The residents of Legislative District 17 in Southern Arizona have a distinctive perspective about those from Greater Phoenix. “Oh, you’re from the Great State of Maricopa?” quipped a Democratic canvasser during a recent event that aimed to flip the district’s political allegiance.

This district, which encompasses portions of Pima and Pinal counties, stretches from Marana in the west to the northern areas of Tucson, including Oro Valley and Saddlebrooke, before extending south to cover eastern Tucson and Tanque Verde. Historically, this region has been a Republican stronghold, electing some of the state’s most conservative lawmakers.

Internal conflicts within the Republican Party have surfaced, however. Former state Senator Vince Leach defeated incumbent Justine Wadsack in the primary election, utilizing ads that highlighted her controversial “extreme” beliefs. Leach’s victory is viewed as critical for the GOP’s efforts to maintain its narrow state Senate majority, despite his equally conservative platform.

Registered Republicans still outnumber Democrats in the district, yet the significant presence of unaffiliated voters presents an opportunity for both parties. For Democrats, success hinges on appealing to independent voters and persuading moderate Republicans to reconsider their allegiances.

“This is a really critical time,” Democratic candidate Kevin Volk asserted to supporters. He stressed the importance of winning over independent voters and acknowledged that the margin of victory would likely be tight. “This is the most important district to flip in Arizona,” he declared.

The stakes are particularly high this election cycle as Democrats embark on their most significant campaign to reclaim control of the Arizona Legislature—an institution long dominated by Republicans. The party aims to leverage the upcoming presidential election as an opportunity to shift both legislative chambers.

Volk, a former educator with ties to notable Democrats, faces a Republican opponent with a contrasting background. John McLean, a former Republican now running as a Democrat, reported that election denialism by GOP leaders prompted his departure from the party. A comment from Kari Lake during her 2022 gubernatorial campaign solidified his resolve: she dismissed “McCain Republicans,” telling them to leave.

Now, McLean collaborates with Democrats to challenge the Republicans’ slim majorities in the legislature, focusing on grassroots mobilization in LD17. Volk has taken an active approach, knocking on over 5,000 doors throughout the district in an effort to connect with voters.

“This is a prototypical ticket-splitting district,” Volk noted, reflecting the growing discontent among voters towards extreme political narratives. Both incumbent Republicans, Rachel Jones and Cory McGarr, have not responded to inquiries for comment, although their legislative actions indicate alignment with far-right sentiments.

Jones’s association with conspiracy theories, particularly regarding election integrity, and McGarr’s controversial legislative proposals have drawn criticism from constituents. Voter feedback suggests a desire for more moderate representation as many feel fatigued by partisan extremes.

During a recent canvassing effort, the conditions were challenging yet indicative of the political landscape. Despite the sweltering heat, Volk and McLean approached residents, many of whom expressed surprise at seeing candidates at their doorsteps. While some remained staunchly Republican, others were open to conversations about their frustrations with current political dynamics.

“They’re really tired of the extremes,” Volk summarized, reflecting a broader vision for a less polarized political environment. As canvassing efforts continue, the candidates aim to convert the burgeoning group of independent voters, who may hold the key to reshaping the district’s political future.

“I do think people are ready to see a different type of politics,” Volk concluded, emphasizing the need for a shift toward public service over political theatrics.