2024 election
JD Vance: The GOP’s Unintended Blow to Unmarried Women

JD Vance, the Ohio senator recently selected as Donald Trump’s vice presidential running mate, is at the center of controversy regarding his views on women, particularly unmarried ones. His past remarks, which have been branded as derogatory, are garnering renewed scrutiny, raising concerns within the Republican Party about potential electoral fallout this election season.
Vance’s historic comments likening childless women to “miserable cat ladies” and questioning the societal value of women without children have sparked widespread criticism. Political experts indicate that such rhetoric could widen the existing gender gap between Republican and Democratic voters, particularly exacerbating tensions following the Supreme Court’s reversal of federal abortion rights in the 2022 Dobbs v. Jackson case.
Elaine Kamarck, a scholar at the Brookings Institution, emphasized that Vance’s statements could ignite a backlash among women voters, many of whom already feel marginalized by GOP rhetoric. “The gender gap has persisted, but the Dobbs decision is going to just drive a truck through it,” she noted, suggesting that Vance’s sentiments are likely to alienate crucial demographics.
In contrast, Democrats have rallied around Vice President Kamala Harris’s focus on protecting reproductive rights, resonating strongly with key voter segments, such as never-married women. Harris’s selection of Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate further underscores the campaign’s commitment to rights that Vance has publicly opposed.
Trump’s history of controversial comments about women, coupled with his endorsement of Vance, seems to amplify these tensions. Pollster Evan Roth Smith remarked that Vance’s views reflect an ideology that fails to resonate with many voters, particularly women, detracting from his appeal as a vice presidential candidate.
Recent Pew Research Center data reveals significant political divides: never-married women are leaning Democratic by 48 points, while married women exhibit a slight Republican lean. Never-married women also show greater likelihood than never-married men to support Democratic candidates, a trend that might shift as inflammatory GOP rhetoric continues to emerge.
Mallory Newall from IPSOS highlighted that the existing marriage gap in politics is becoming more pronounced, particularly against the backdrop of Vance’s comments and the Supreme Court’s decisions on reproductive health. “Can this burgeoning enthusiasm among Democrats pull some unmarried women off the bench and up to the polls in November?” she questioned, implying that Vance’s rhetoric could mobilize a demographic often viewed as disengaged.
Throughout his career, Vance has faced backlash for comments suggesting that individuals’ societal value is tied to their childbearing capacity. During his 2022 Senate campaign, he belittled Democrats as being out of touch due to their lack of biological children. Such sentiments have been interpreted as not only dismissive but divisive, particularly in a sociopolitical landscape where single and childless voters are increasingly assertive.
A recent poll conducted by the National Women’s Law Center Action Fund suggests Vance’s views do not align with the priorities of many voters, regardless of marital status. The data reveals that policies impacting family support, education, and child care are favored even among women without children, countering Vance’s assertions about societal engagement.
The shifting demographics in marriage rates also reveal a cultural evolution; the percentage of never-married adults has risen significantly since the 1990s. This evolving landscape indicates that the political implications of marriage, traditionally viewed as a stabilizing factor in GOP support, may require reconsideration amidst the current electoral climate.
The recent midterms highlighted Republican vulnerabilities, particularly among single women, prompting commentators on the right to express concern over party strategy. Jesse Watters of Fox News, for example, attributed election losses to the demographic challenges posed by unmarried women, pushing for traditional marriage as a remedy.
Polling from the Blueprint initiative suggests that awareness of Vance’s controversial remarks is negatively impacting his approval ratings, with many voters finding his comments distasteful. “A lot of men don’t like hearing how he talks about women,” noted Smith, highlighting a potential decline in support from both genders as Vance’s sentiments gain traction in public discourse.
In summation, JD Vance’s selection as Trump’s running mate is already reshaping the political conversation around gender and marriage within the GOP. As the election approaches, the potential electoral consequences of his rhetoric on women’s rights and societal roles will be closely monitored, especially among demographics that have historically been underrepresented in voter turnout.