Tonto National Forest Faces Ongoing Fire Threat Amid Forecast of Drier Months Ahead

The ongoing dry conditions and inadequate monsoon season have raised alarm among fire officials in Arizona, particularly in the Tonto National Forest.

So far this year, more than 170 fires have scorched over 93,000 acres within the forest. The situation is exacerbated by forecasts of continued dry weather in the coming months, heightening the risk of fire outbreaks.

Lightning-ignited fires, such as the West and Preacher Fires in northern Tonto, have been somewhat controlled due to their low intensity. Fire management officials are allowing these fires to burn in an effort to manage excess fuel on the forest floor.

Blake, a fire official, noted the unusual dynamics of this year’s weather. “In seasons with ample rainfall, lightning fires would typically be extinguished quickly, but this year’s conditions differ significantly,” he explained.

Human-caused fires are also a concern, particularly in the forest’s southern sections. The combination of high temperatures and low moisture creates an environment ripe for fire incidents.

“While we’re not currently under fire restrictions, vigilance is essential. The combination of heat and dryness heightens the fire risk,” Blake added.

Invasive species further complicate the situation, according to Ben Wilder, Director of Next Generation Sonoran Desert Researchers. These species have established themselves across the Sonoran Desert, creating additional combustible material.

“The dry landscape, combined with the presence of invasive grasses, increases the potential for fires to spread rapidly,” Wilder stated. Non-native plants can contribute to fires that burn hotter and are more difficult to control.

The anticipated dry conditions linked to the ongoing La Niña climate pattern could have lasting implications. Wilder emphasized the dangers of perennial grasses like Buffel and Fountain grass, which can serve as significant fuel sources in areas already hardened by drought.

As the fire season progresses, public awareness remains crucial. “People can play a vital role in preventing wildfires by ensuring campfires are fully extinguished and vehicles are well-maintained,” Blake urged.