NY Times Poll Reveals Trump Surging Ahead in Arizona

By Daniel Stefanski |

A recent national poll indicates that Republican presidential nominee Donald J. Trump holds a lead over his opponent in Arizona. The New York Times/Siena Sunbelt Poll, released earlier this week, highlights Trump’s five-point advantage over Vice President Kamala Harris, with results showing 50% support for Trump compared to 45% for Harris.

This survey of 713 registered voters in Arizona, conducted last week, revealed that 87% of respondents were either very likely or almost certain to participate in the upcoming general election. Trump’s lead marks a reversal from last month’s poll, where he trailed Harris by four points.

Interestingly, this marks a consistent pattern for Trump in Arizona. In a survey conducted last October, he also led Harris by five points. The latest poll indicated that 7% of respondents were either undecided or declined to answer regarding their candidate choice.

In addition to the candidate preferences, the poll noted that President Joe Biden’s disapproval rating has risen to 60%, up from 57% last month. Trump’s approval rating stands at 47%, countered by a 51% unfavorable rating. Harris similarly sees mixed favorability, with a 46% favorable rating compared to 51% unfavorable.

Key issues influencing voter decisions reveal that 26% of respondents identified the economy as their top concern, followed closely by immigration and abortion. Notably, more voters trusted Trump over Harris in managing the economy (57% to 40%) and immigration (54% to 42%). However, Harris received greater trust regarding abortion policies (55% to 39%) and a slim edge on issues related to democracy (49% to 46%).

Furthermore, 44% of those surveyed believe Trump’s policies have been beneficial, compared to 34% who feel they have been detrimental. In contrast, 40% perceive Harris’ policies as harmful, while only 36% view them as helpful.

As the general election approaches, voting has already commenced in Arizona, with just over a month remaining until the crucial contest.