Hobbs Seeks Legislative Wins in 2025 to Boost Reelection Prospects

As the Arizona Legislature prepares to convene on January 13, Governor Katie Hobbs is not only contemplating her legislative agenda but also strategizing for her re-election in 2026. With nearly $6 million raised since her 2022 election, her campaign is laying the groundwork for what will likely be a challenging race.

Political analysts emphasize the importance of this legislative session for Hobbs, which could significantly impact her re-election viability. Unlike many past governors who enjoyed supportive majorities, Hobbs faces a Legislature dominated by Republicans, making bipartisan collaboration essential.

Democratic consultant Stacy Pearson noted that Hobbs’ fundraising achievement is remarkable for an incumbent. However, she stressed the necessity for Hobbs to deliver tangible victories in key areas such as education and border security to strengthen her position.

Some experts suggest that Hobbs might need to adopt a more centrist approach, particularly on issues resonating with conservative voters. Barrett Marson, a Republican consultant, emphasized the need for Hobbs to compromise, especially regarding border security and economic initiatives.

Hobbs plans to outline her 2025 priorities during her upcoming State of the State Address, but previous statements indicate that border security will be at the forefront. In November, she expressed an intention to collaborate with President-elect Donald Trump on border issues, while opposing mass deportations.

Chuck Coughlin, a former Republican consultant, suggested that Hobbs can bolster her border security stance by allocating state funds to law enforcement efforts post-Proposition 314, which seeks to address illegal immigration and drug trafficking. This move could resonate positively with voters and enhance her political image.

Amidst differing opinions among political consultants, the consensus is clear: Hobbs must demonstrate a willingness to forge alliances with Republican legislators. Marson critiqued her previous focus on obstructing Republican initiatives instead of seeking collaborative solutions.

While some believe Hobbs should maintain her current strategy of prioritizing safety and education, Coughlin recommended that she identify Republicans willing to cooperate on critical issues like water and housing. Establishing these relationships could facilitate bipartisan support and create pathways for progress.

Pearson pointed out that the unsuccessful attempts by Republicans to circumvent Hobbs’ vetoes on various referrals may encourage more bipartisan cooperation moving forward. She argued that these dynamics indicate a misalignment between Republican priorities and voter sentiments.

Both Pearson and Coughlin identified Proposition 123 as an immediate opportunity for Hobbs to achieve a significant legislative win. As this education funding measure requires re-negotiation, successfully reaching an agreement could have profound implications for her early campaign narrative.

Coughlin concluded that Hobbs has ample time to shape a conducive political landscape ahead of her campaign. Strategies focused on collaboration and compromise may ultimately enhance her re-election prospects.