2024 Heat Deaths Predicted to Surpass 2023’s Record, Heading for a New All-Time High

A troubling trend emerges as Pinal County braces for an increase in heat-related fatalities in 2024, anticipated to eclipse last year’s numbers. Despite a less intense heatwave than in 2023, reports from the Pinal County Medical Examiner’s Office (PCMEO) show 24 heat-associated deaths recorded as of August 21, slightly down from the previous year.

These statistics are expected to escalate, especially as PCMEO processes pending cases from July and August amidst the ongoing heat of September. “At this time, we have 40-plus cases pending toxicology, many of which I suspect will end up being heat-related,” remarked PCMEO Division Manager Andre Davis.

The record for heat-related deaths in the county stands at 32, recorded in 2022. Current trends indicate that the total for this year could potentially rise further as investigations are finalized.

Among the 24 confirmed deaths is a case from Maricopa: a 58-year-old homeless man who succumbed to heart disease aggravated by extreme heat on July 5. This incident highlights recurring vulnerabilities identified in earlier reports, particularly among marginalized groups.

The PCMEO’s 2023 annual report underscores that individuals with pre-existing health conditions, along with seniors, young children, and outdoor workers, are at higher risk of heat-related consequences. The statistics from this year validate these concerns.

Typically, July is the deadliest month for heat fatalities. In 2020 and 2022, 13 or more deaths were attributed to heat exposure during this time. The trend appears on course to continue, as July 2023 alone accounted for 13 deaths, amounting to over half of the recorded fatalities this year.

Demographic analysis reveals that nearly all heat-related deaths involved individuals aged 55 and older, with approximately two-thirds being over 65. Notably, four of these deceased individuals were homeless.

Emergency room visits for heat-related illnesses are also significant, with 261 Pinal County residents seeking treatment for conditions such as dehydration and heat stroke this year. This figure, while still high, is a decline compared to 2022.

Hyperthermia, a potentially deadly condition caused by the body overheating, can lead to severe health concerns if untreated. Maricopa Fire and Medical Department’s Assistant Chief Christopher Bolinger emphasizes the urgency of addressing these symptoms promptly. “In a hyperthermic event, we’re talking about really high temperatures that can cause breakdowns in systems all across the body,” he stated.

Symptoms can range from confusion to more severe outcomes like seizures or even coma, reinforcing the need for community awareness and preventive measures as temperatures rise.